LACChargers
0-1
33
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
71°F
6 mph
30
PHIEagles
1-0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
71°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
10
7
13
33
Eagles
3
7
10
10
30
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
539
503
Total Plays
79
58
Yards / Play
6.8
8.7
EPA / Play
+0.35
+0.36
Passing Yards
413
403
Comp/Att
36/47(77%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
10.9
EPA / Pass
+0.51
+0.42
Rushing Yards
126
100
Rush Attempts
31
19
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
33
22
Passing 1st downs
22
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
67%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-8.07
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-17
Sack EPA
-1.51
-3.17
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
--
77
Penalty EPA
--
-3.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model70.5%
Spread Pick
Chargers+7.5
Expected Value
+10.6%
Cover Probability
57.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+115
Home nfelo
1,477
Away nfelo
1,469
Home Field
+96.0
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+10.1
Home QB Adjustment
+7.1
Away QB Adjustment
-3.0
Market Regression
-38.9
Final Difference
151.6
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-3.0
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+7.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
8
30
Passing Yards / Game
2
31
Rushing Yards / Game
13
13
EPA
EPA / Play
2
21
EPA / Pass
2
20
EPA / Rush
10
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
9
Interceptions / Game
5
6
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
27
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
24
4th Down Efficiency
1
11
RZ Efficiency
21
12
Eagles Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
9
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
4
20
Rushing Yards / Game
1
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
30
EPA / Pass
5
22
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
28
Interceptions / Game
3
24
Fumbles / Game
12
19
Turnover EPA / Game
23
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
21
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
13
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Eagles
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
7-3
O/U