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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ eagles week 7, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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LAC logo
LACChargers
3-3
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
53°F
17 mph
20
PHIEagles
3-2
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
53°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
0
7
10
17
Eagles
0
7
3
4
14

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
291
286
Total Plays
63
71
Yards / Play
4.6
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.27
-0.23
Passing Yards
270
262
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
35/54(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.29
Rushing Yards
21
24
Rush Attempts
20
14
Yards / Rush
1.1
1.7
EPA / Rush
-0.44
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
13
16
Rushing 1st downs
1
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
33%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.77
-8.77
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-29
-25
Sack EPA
-5.46
-4.89
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
72
72
Penalty EPA
-8.58
-8.20

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Chargers logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
3
27
Yards / Game
10
23
Passing Yards / Game
16
18
Rushing Yards / Game
8
20

EPA

EPA / Play
4
11
EPA / Pass
7
21
EPA / Rush
1
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
9
Interceptions / Game
17
11
Fumbles / Game
8
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
5
5
4th Down Efficiency
5
27
RZ Efficiency
1
27
Eagles Offense vs Chargers Defense
Eagles logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
18
13
Yards / Game
18
13
Passing Yards / Game
4
31
Rushing Yards / Game
28
1

EPA

EPA / Play
27
20
EPA / Pass
26
24
EPA / Rush
22
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
7
21
Interceptions / Game
26
27
Fumbles / Game
18
16
Turnover EPA / Game
4
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
30
14
4th Down Efficiency
31
18
RZ Efficiency
12
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/19
21
W
W
P
12/26
-3
L
W
P
01/02
7
W
W
P
01/08
-3
L
L
P
09/11
-4
L
L
P
09/18
-3
L
P
P
09/25
22
W
W
P
10/02
24
W
W
P
10/10
-2
L
L
P
10/16
13
W
W
P
PHI logo

Eagles

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/27
-13
L
L
P
01/02
-28
L
L
P
01/16
13
W
W
P
01/23
17
W
W
P
02/06
-3
L
W
P
09/12
-4
L
L
P
09/18
39
W
W
P
09/25
3
W
L
P
10/02
6
W
W
P
10/09
-23
L
L
P