LACChargers
4-3
21
TBD
Giants Stadium
71°F
2 mph
20
NYGGiants
5-3
TBD
Giants Stadium
71°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
7
7
7
21
Giants
0
7
0
13
20
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
226
304
Total Plays
53
67
Yards / Play
4.3
4.5
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.04
Passing Yards
192
188
Comp/Att
24/36(67%)
25/33(76%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.30
Rushing Yards
34
116
Rush Attempts
15
29
Yards / Rush
2.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.36
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
30%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.79
-4.00
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-17
-27
Sack EPA
-3.43
-4.33
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
20
104
Penalty EPA
-0.96
-9.86
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+129
Home nfelo
1,616
Away nfelo
1,542
Home Field
+61.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-7.3
Home QB Adjustment
+2.7
Away QB Adjustment
+10.0
Market Regression
+26.9
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+10.0
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
30
Yards / Game
10
13
Passing Yards / Game
4
13
Rushing Yards / Game
31
13
EPA
EPA / Play
1
30
EPA / Pass
1
23
EPA / Rush
28
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
20
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
3
12
Turnover EPA / Game
32
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
16
4th Down Efficiency
13
27
RZ Efficiency
10
32
Giants Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
10
Yards / Game
9
12
Passing Yards / Game
6
26
Rushing Yards / Game
17
21
EPA
EPA / Play
8
23
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
16
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
25
Interceptions / Game
10
20
Fumbles / Game
30
14
Turnover EPA / Game
12
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
22
4th Down Efficiency
9
20
RZ Efficiency
20
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-2-4
O/U
Giants
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-2-3
O/U