LACChargers
4-1
21
TBD
MetLife Stadium
58°F
027
NYJJets
3-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
58°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
1
14
0
0
15
Jets
3
7
7
10
27
Spread
+1
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
318
Total Plays
58
66
Yards / Play
4.6
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.04
Passing Yards
172
156
Comp/Att
16/32(50%)
18/33(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.20
-0.18
Rushing Yards
96
162
Rush Attempts
25
31
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
50%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-11.00
-12.36
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-17
Sack EPA
-1.63
-2.99
Penalties
13
8
Penalty Yards
95
60
Penalty EPA
-8.97
-7.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
+2.5
Win Probability
Market52.3%
Model44.7%
Spread Pick
Jets+1.0
Expected Value
+6.8%
Cover Probability
55.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+79
Home nfelo
1,612
Away nfelo
1,606
Home Field
+69.2
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+4.8
Home QB Adjustment
+2.0
Away QB Adjustment
-2.9
Market Regression
-2.8
Final Difference
36.9
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-2.9
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
19
Yards / Game
6
4
Passing Yards / Game
16
7
Rushing Yards / Game
16
14
EPA
EPA / Play
4
8
EPA / Pass
4
4
EPA / Rush
12
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
13
Interceptions / Game
25
9
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
7
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
2
4th Down Efficiency
20
1
RZ Efficiency
10
9
Jets Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
23
Yards / Game
26
16
Passing Yards / Game
18
10
Rushing Yards / Game
22
20
EPA
EPA / Play
21
29
EPA / Pass
25
28
EPA / Rush
13
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
25
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
29
31
Turnover EPA / Game
2
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
32
4th Down Efficiency
20
2
RZ Efficiency
4
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jets
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U