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  1. nfelo...
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  3. chargers @ lions week 14, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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LAC logo
LACChargers
2-10
14
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0
7
DETLions
4-8
DET logo
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
7
0
0
14
Lions
0
0
0
7
7

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Lions logo
Total Yards
375
276
Total Plays
60
65
Yards / Play
6.3
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.17
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
17/25(68%)
26/47(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.15
Rushing Yards
131
68
Rush Attempts
35
18
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Lions logo
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
43%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Lions logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.90
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
11
8
Penalty Yards
95
71
Penalty EPA
-9.36
-8.06

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Lions Defense
Chargers logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
16
25
Yards / Game
16
24
Passing Yards / Game
25
9
Rushing Yards / Game
6
15

EPA

EPA / Play
12
16
EPA / Pass
20
25
EPA / Rush
4
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
32
Interceptions / Game
21
15
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
10
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
26
4th Down Efficiency
14
26
RZ Efficiency
22
31
Lions Offense vs Chargers Defense
Lions logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
26
31
Yards / Game
32
27
Passing Yards / Game
32
24
Rushing Yards / Game
32
26

EPA

EPA / Play
29
32
EPA / Pass
29
28
EPA / Rush
30
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
21
Interceptions / Game
31
25
Fumbles / Game
1
31
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
22
RZ Efficiency
21
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/21
-14
L
L
P
09/28
-3
L
W
P
10/05
-6
L
L
P
10/19
6
W
W
P
10/27
-16
L
L
P
11/02
-13
L
L
P
11/09
14
W
W
P
11/16
-29
L
L
P
11/23
-7
L
L
P
11/30
-4
L
W
P
DET logo

Lions

3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/21
-10
L
L
P
09/28
-4
L
W
P
10/05
-7
L
W
P
10/19
-31
L
L
P
10/26
-8
L
L
P
11/02
10
W
W
P
11/09
2
W
W
P
11/16
-21
L
L
P
11/23
-10
L
W
P
11/27
8
W
W
P