LACChargers
1-0
26
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
78°F
13 mph
3
CARPanthers
0-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
78°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
6
14
3
3
26
Panthers
0
0
3
0
3
Spread
-4.5
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
159
Total Plays
65
46
Yards / Play
5.4
3.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.54
Passing Yards
130
69
Comp/Att
14/20(70%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
2.7
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.85
Rushing Yards
219
90
Rush Attempts
44
18
Yards / Rush
5.0
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
7
Passing 1st downs
8
3
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
56%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
9
1
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
50%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.99
-4.03
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
-4.55
-4.93
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
15
90
Penalty EPA
-2.22
-9.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model60.4%
Spread Pick
Panthers+4.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-23
Home nfelo
1,387
Away nfelo
1,484
Home Field
+88.2
Base HFA
+46.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.3
Time Adj
+25.1
Net QB Adjustment
-14.0
Home QB Adjustment
-18.3
Away QB Adjustment
-4.3
Market Regression
+10.2
Final Difference
-73.5
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-4.3
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-18.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
32
Yards / Game
20
32
Passing Yards / Game
16
21
Rushing Yards / Game
20
32
EPA
EPA / Play
13
32
EPA / Pass
14
31
EPA / Rush
19
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
21
Interceptions / Game
5
25
Fumbles / Game
3
19
Turnover EPA / Game
29
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
32
4th Down Efficiency
13
20
RZ Efficiency
18
29
Panthers Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
2
Yards / Game
29
11
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
16
14
EPA
EPA / Play
24
4
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
9
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
14
Interceptions / Game
22
7
Fumbles / Game
13
13
Turnover EPA / Game
13
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
4
4th Down Efficiency
26
25
RZ Efficiency
7
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Panthers
1-9
SU
3-6-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U