LACChargers
1-0
14
TBD
Gillette Stadium
55°F
5 mph
38
NEPatriots
1-0
TBD
Gillette Stadium
55°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
0
7
7
14
Patriots
14
4
7
7
32
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
201
407
Total Plays
53
65
Yards / Play
3.8
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.19
Passing Yards
149
263
Comp/Att
19/30(63%)
25/31(81%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.42
Rushing Yards
52
144
Rush Attempts
20
32
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
25
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
36%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
8
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-20.20
-6.78
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-30
-16
Sack EPA
-8.90
-2.66
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
75
67
Penalty EPA
-5.67
-7.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
1
Yards / Game
20
5
Passing Yards / Game
31
21
Rushing Yards / Game
9
9
EPA
EPA / Play
12
12
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
18
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
24
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
21
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
4
4th Down Efficiency
6
25
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
4
Yards / Game
1
14
Passing Yards / Game
8
16
Rushing Yards / Game
11
15
EPA
EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
1
4
EPA / Rush
2
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
27
Interceptions / Game
3
1
Fumbles / Game
3
7
Turnover EPA / Game
32
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
19
4th Down Efficiency
4
6
RZ Efficiency
2
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
9-1
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U