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  1. nfelo...
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  3. chargers @ patriots week 20, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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LAC logo
LACChargers
13-5
12
TBD
Gillette Stadium
23°F
17 mph
21
NEPatriots
17-0
NE logo
TBD
Gillette Stadium
23°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
6
3
0
12
Patriots
0
14
0
7
21

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Patriots logo
Total Yards
311
347
Total Plays
60
66
Yards / Play
5.2
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.03
Passing Yards
207
198
Comp/Att
19/37(51%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.17
-0.11
Rushing Yards
104
149
Rush Attempts
22
31
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Patriots logo
1st Downs
17
25
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
13
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
25%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Patriots logo
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.99
-11.30
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-4
-11
Sack EPA
-2.14
-2.71
Penalties
1
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Chargers logo
Patriots logo

Total

Points / Game
10
1
Yards / Game
20
5
Passing Yards / Game
31
21
Rushing Yards / Game
9
9

EPA

EPA / Play
12
12
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
18
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
24
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
21
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
4
4th Down Efficiency
6
25
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Patriots Offense vs Chargers Defense
Patriots logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
1
4
Yards / Game
1
14
Passing Yards / Game
8
16
Rushing Yards / Game
11
15

EPA

EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
1
4
EPA / Rush
2
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
27
Interceptions / Game
3
1
Fumbles / Game
3
7
Turnover EPA / Game
32
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
19
4th Down Efficiency
4
6
RZ Efficiency
2
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/11
2
W
W
P
11/18
-7
L
L
P
11/25
18
W
W
P
12/02
14
W
W
P
12/09
6
W
W
P
12/16
37
W
W
P
12/24
20
W
W
P
12/30
13
W
W
P
01/06
11
W
W
P
01/13
4
W
W
P
NE logo

Patriots

10-0
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/28
45
W
W
P
11/04
4
W
L
P
11/18
46
W
W
P
11/25
3
W
L
P
12/03
3
W
L
P
12/09
21
W
W
P
12/16
10
W
L
P
12/23
21
W
L
P
12/29
3
W
L
P
01/12
11
W
L
P