LACChargers
-
22
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
67°F
11 mph
14
OAKRaiders
-
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
67°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
7
6
6
22
Raiders
3
3
0
8
14
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
258
323
Total Plays
54
70
Yards / Play
4.8
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.09
Passing Yards
226
278
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
32/47(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.02
Rushing Yards
32
45
Rush Attempts
20
20
Yards / Rush
1.6
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.37
-0.62
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
1
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
20%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.38
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-5
-21
Sack EPA
-1.80
-3.49
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
78
35
Penalty EPA
-11.36
-3.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model51.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-20
Home nfelo
1,470
Away nfelo
1,524
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-0.7
Home QB Adjustment
+8.1
Away QB Adjustment
+8.8
Market Regression
+8.0
Final Difference
8.0
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+8.8
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+8.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
28
Yards / Game
31
17
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
28
17
EPA
EPA / Play
19
32
EPA / Pass
20
30
EPA / Rush
28
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
25
Interceptions / Game
14
23
Fumbles / Game
23
22
Turnover EPA / Game
18
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
18
4th Down Efficiency
14
24
RZ Efficiency
26
21
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
15
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
14
12
Rushing Yards / Game
29
5
EPA
EPA / Play
23
9
EPA / Pass
19
13
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
3
Interceptions / Game
18
18
Fumbles / Game
16
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
29
4th Down Efficiency
31
8
RZ Efficiency
28
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U