LACChargers
2-2
27
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
67°F
035
OAKRaiders
1-3
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
67°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
17
7
3
27
Raiders
4
3
7
7
21
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
506
279
Total Plays
71
59
Yards / Play
7.1
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.10
Passing Yards
415
168
Comp/Att
27/42(64%)
14/26(54%)
Yards / Pass
9.9
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.22
+0.04
Rushing Yards
91
111
Rush Attempts
26
30
Yards / Rush
3.5
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
14
Passing 1st downs
19
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
5
1
3rd Down %
42%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-19.16
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-16
-5
Sack EPA
-14.71
-2.69
Penalties
7
12
Penalty Yards
53
85
Penalty EPA
-3.79
-10.00
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-196
Home nfelo
1,364
Away nfelo
1,541
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-53.3
Home QB Adjustment
-42.0
Away QB Adjustment
+11.3
Market Regression
-27.0
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+11.3
B. Gradkowski
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-42.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
20
Yards / Game
1
11
Passing Yards / Game
1
9
Rushing Yards / Game
14
29
EPA
EPA / Play
6
19
EPA / Pass
1
11
EPA / Rush
20
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
6
Interceptions / Game
11
26
Fumbles / Game
28
22
Turnover EPA / Game
14
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
6
4th Down Efficiency
25
2
RZ Efficiency
12
17
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
9
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
2
4
EPA
EPA / Play
11
7
EPA / Pass
22
2
EPA / Rush
5
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
11
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
22
28
Turnover EPA / Game
26
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
4
4th Down Efficiency
22
11
RZ Efficiency
18
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U