LACChargers
2-2
17
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
2 mph
27
OAKRaiders
1-3
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
0
3
14
17
Raiders
14
3
1
3
21
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
427
299
Total Plays
69
55
Yards / Play
6.2
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.19
Passing Yards
391
195
Comp/Att
35/48(73%)
18/23(78%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.25
Rushing Yards
36
104
Rush Attempts
19
28
Yards / Rush
1.9
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.72
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
17
Passing 1st downs
21
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
40%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-16.28
+4.33
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-20
-26
Sack EPA
-3.44
-6.95
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
30
85
Penalty EPA
-3.41
-2.71
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model65.9%
Spread Pick
Raiders+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-81
Home nfelo
1,378
Away nfelo
1,479
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-14.1
Home QB Adjustment
+13.4
Away QB Adjustment
+27.5
Market Regression
+2.8
Final Difference
-114.7
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+27.5
T. Pryor
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+13.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
29
Yards / Game
8
21
Passing Yards / Game
2
30
Rushing Yards / Game
13
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
26
EPA / Pass
2
32
EPA / Rush
10
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
11
Interceptions / Game
5
31
Fumbles / Game
7
11
Turnover EPA / Game
27
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
28
4th Down Efficiency
1
6
RZ Efficiency
21
22
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
9
Yards / Game
23
23
Passing Yards / Game
30
20
Rushing Yards / Game
11
14
EPA
EPA / Play
24
30
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
16
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
28
Interceptions / Game
24
24
Fumbles / Game
27
19
Turnover EPA / Game
9
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
21
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
5
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U