LACChargers
5-8
21
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
063
OAKRaiders
5-8
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
0
7
14
21
Raiders
21
21
8
1
51
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
326
378
Total Plays
63
63
Yards / Play
5.2
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.43
+0.31
Passing Yards
234
254
Comp/Att
23/32(72%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.32
+0.34
Rushing Yards
92
124
Rush Attempts
28
26
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.47
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-27.71
+5.34
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-23
-6
Sack EPA
-17.70
-2.28
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
65
30
Penalty EPA
-4.56
-2.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
+3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+31
Home nfelo
1,446
Away nfelo
1,505
Home Field
+40.7
Base HFA
+45.3
Divisional Adj
-20.4
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+50.2
Home QB Adjustment
-48.1
Away QB Adjustment
-98.3
Market Regression
+90.5
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
E. Stick
Proj. Value
-1.6
Team Elo Adj
-98.3
No recent game data available
A. O'Connell
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
-48.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
7
Yards / Game
18
14
Passing Yards / Game
17
27
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
18
9
EPA / Rush
31
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
20
Interceptions / Game
3
17
Fumbles / Game
27
21
Turnover EPA / Game
16
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
25
4th Down Efficiency
23
23
RZ Efficiency
13
27
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
23
Yards / Game
27
28
Passing Yards / Game
32
21
Rushing Yards / Game
30
16
EPA
EPA / Play
24
20
EPA / Pass
22
24
EPA / Rush
26
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
12
Interceptions / Game
28
25
Fumbles / Game
10
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
15
4th Down Efficiency
6
28
RZ Efficiency
24
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
1-9
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-3-2
ATS
2-8
O/U