LACChargers
7-8
38
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
56°F
8 mph
26
OAKRaiders
8-7
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
56°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
17
7
7
38
Raiders
7
6
6
7
26
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
463
520
Total Plays
57
67
Yards / Play
8.1
7.8
EPA / Play
+0.58
+0.28
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
28/43(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+1.00
+0.36
Rushing Yards
153
103
Rush Attempts
31
24
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
28
Passing 1st downs
15
19
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
4
3rd Down %
70%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.86
-3.61
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
68
64
Penalty EPA
-8.37
-8.11
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model50.6%
Spread Pick
Chargers+2.5
Expected Value
+2.7%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-27
Home nfelo
1,492
Away nfelo
1,565
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+11.6
Home QB Adjustment
+16.4
Away QB Adjustment
+4.8
Market Regression
-9.6
Final Difference
4.2
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+4.8
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+16.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
6
29
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
4
30
EPA / Pass
4
25
EPA / Rush
12
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
30
Interceptions / Game
25
10
Fumbles / Game
12
26
Turnover EPA / Game
7
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
25
4th Down Efficiency
20
5
RZ Efficiency
10
23
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
9
16
Passing Yards / Game
26
10
Rushing Yards / Game
6
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
29
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
8
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
25
Interceptions / Game
27
15
Fumbles / Game
6
31
Turnover EPA / Game
11
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
32
4th Down Efficiency
8
2
RZ Efficiency
23
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U