LACChargers
2-3
17
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
020
LARRams
2-3
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
3
7
7
17
Rams
10
7
0
3
20
Spread
+8.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
287
300
Total Plays
61
69
Yards / Play
4.7
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.04
Passing Yards
208
183
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
18/31(58%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.05
Rushing Yards
79
117
Rush Attempts
17
35
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.20
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.56
--
Sacks
7
3
Sack Yards
-41
-15
Sack EPA
-9.55
-4.00
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
31
35
Penalty EPA
-6.08
-3.63
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-8.5
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market77.4%
Model70.5%
Spread Pick
Rams+8.5
Expected Value
+19.3%
Cover Probability
62.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-100
Home nfelo
1,335
Away nfelo
1,528
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-13.5
Home QB Adjustment
+4.0
Away QB Adjustment
+17.5
Market Regression
+11.3
Final Difference
-151.2
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+17.5
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+4.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
11
Yards / Game
1
18
Passing Yards / Game
1
18
Rushing Yards / Game
14
17
EPA
EPA / Play
6
5
EPA / Pass
1
7
EPA / Rush
20
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
11
19
Fumbles / Game
28
10
Turnover EPA / Game
14
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
3
4th Down Efficiency
25
19
RZ Efficiency
12
12
Rams Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
9
Yards / Game
27
1
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
30
7
EPA / Pass
26
2
EPA / Rush
29
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
11
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
1
28
Turnover EPA / Game
19
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
4
4th Down Efficiency
11
11
RZ Efficiency
31
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Rams
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U