nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ ravens week 8, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

LAC logo
LACChargers
2-5
26
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
63°F
10 mph
29
BALRavens
1-6
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
63°F
10 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
13
7
3
26
Ravens
6
7
6
10
29

Spread

LAC logo
+4.5

Total

OVER
50

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
371
365
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
5.8
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.27
Passing Yards
290
293
Comp/Att
28/37(76%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
7.9
EPA / Pass
+0.45
+0.29
Rushing Yards
81
72
Rush Attempts
26
25
Yards / Rush
3.1
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
22
23
Passing 1st downs
15
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
54%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-11
-26
Sack EPA
-2.61
-5.70
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
66
46
Penalty EPA
-7.07
-6.15

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-5.0

Win Probability

Market66.1%
Model67.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+150
Home nfelo
1,518
Away nfelo
1,463
Home Field
+117.8
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-22.0
Home QB Adjustment
+2.5
Away QB Adjustment
+24.4
Market Regression
+13.0
Final Difference
123.0
Model Spread
-5.0

Quarterbacks

P. Rivers headshot

P. Rivers

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+24.4
Value
Ptile
12/14
-2.4
33
12/20
3.0
71
12/28
-9.1
6
09/13
6.0
87
09/20
-0.1
50
09/27
-4.3
19
10/04
5.8
86
10/12
5.2
83
10/18
10.6
97
10/25
3.6
76
J. Flacco headshot

J. Flacco

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
Value
Ptile
12/28
5.0
82
01/03
1.7
63
01/10
4.8
81
09/13
-9.3
2
09/20
6.8
90
09/27
6.1
87
10/01
-8.0
4
10/11
2.8
72
10/18
2.1
65
10/26
-1.5
40

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Chargers logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
25
24
Yards / Game
7
10
Passing Yards / Game
1
16
Rushing Yards / Game
30
12

EPA

EPA / Play
18
21
EPA / Pass
11
24
EPA / Rush
31
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
30
Interceptions / Game
16
32
Fumbles / Game
21
15
Turnover EPA / Game
15
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
8
20
4th Down Efficiency
29
11
RZ Efficiency
7
11
Ravens Offense vs Chargers Defense
Ravens logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
21
Yards / Game
14
21
Passing Yards / Game
25
17
Rushing Yards / Game
26
27

EPA

EPA / Play
22
30
EPA / Pass
23
19
EPA / Rush
26
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
13
Interceptions / Game
31
20
Fumbles / Game
3
15
Turnover EPA / Game
8
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
13
4th Down Efficiency
15
32
RZ Efficiency
24
7

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/14
-12
L
L
U
12/20
3
W
W
O
12/28
-12
L
L
U
09/13
5
W
W
O
09/20
-5
L
L
U
09/27
-17
L
L
U
10/04
3
W
L
O
10/12
-4
L
L
U
10/18
-7
L
W
U
10/25
-8
L
L
O
BAL logo

Ravens

3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/28
10
W
L
U
01/03
13
W
W
U
01/10
-4
L
W
O
09/13
-6
L
L
U
09/20
-4
L
L
O
09/27
-4
L
L
O
10/01
3
W
P
U
10/11
-3
L
L
O
10/18
-5
L
L
O
10/26
-8
L
W
U