LACChargers
1-1
20
TBD
Lumen Field
68°F
10 mph
27
SEASeahawks
1-1
TBD
Lumen Field
68°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
0
10
8
18
Seahawks
0
10
7
10
27
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
520
271
Total Plays
79
56
Yards / Play
6.6
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.01
Passing Yards
431
203
Comp/Att
29/54(54%)
19/32(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.20
-0.14
Rushing Yards
89
68
Rush Attempts
21
21
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
13
Passing 1st downs
22
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
43%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-20.01
-6.06
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-26
-17
Sack EPA
-6.17
-3.69
Penalties
11
5
Penalty Yards
83
32
Penalty EPA
-9.47
-0.71
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model57.5%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+3.5
Expected Value
+11.0%
Cover Probability
58.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-9
Home nfelo
1,424
Away nfelo
1,505
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.1
Home QB Adjustment
+0.6
Away QB Adjustment
+13.6
Market Regression
+13.2
Final Difference
-52.5
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+13.6
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
27
Yards / Game
1
30
Passing Yards / Game
1
24
Rushing Yards / Game
14
21
EPA
EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
1
29
EPA / Rush
20
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
17
Interceptions / Game
11
27
Fumbles / Game
28
20
Turnover EPA / Game
14
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
26
4th Down Efficiency
25
7
RZ Efficiency
12
11
Seahawks Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
9
Yards / Game
26
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
2
Rushing Yards / Game
31
4
EPA
EPA / Play
22
7
EPA / Pass
24
2
EPA / Rush
24
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
11
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
12
28
Turnover EPA / Game
12
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
4
4th Down Efficiency
29
11
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U