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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ steelers week 19, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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LAC logo
LACChargers
9-8
24
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
26°F
5 mph
35
PITSteelers
12-4
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
26°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
3
0
14
24
Steelers
1
7
7
14
29

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
290
342
Total Plays
51
70
Yards / Play
5.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.19
Passing Yards
275
177
Comp/Att
21/35(60%)
17/27(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.28
+0.19
Rushing Yards
15
165
Rush Attempts
12
42
Yards / Rush
1.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.54
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
1
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.01
+5.10
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-33
-4
Sack EPA
-5.84
-1.85
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
104
44
Penalty EPA
-6.62
-6.50

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Steelers Defense
Chargers logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
3
2
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
14
15
Rushing Yards / Game
21
1

EPA

EPA / Play
1
2
EPA / Pass
3
2
EPA / Rush
7
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
4
Interceptions / Game
8
6
Fumbles / Game
9
19
Turnover EPA / Game
23
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
1
4th Down Efficiency
3
10
RZ Efficiency
12
3
Steelers Offense vs Chargers Defense
Steelers logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
17
17
Yards / Game
22
25
Passing Yards / Game
16
22
Rushing Yards / Game
23
11

EPA

EPA / Play
19
27
EPA / Pass
13
20
EPA / Rush
28
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
20
Interceptions / Game
14
17
Fumbles / Game
15
17
Turnover EPA / Game
25
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
19
4th Down Efficiency
32
15
RZ Efficiency
14
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/26
-5
L
L
P
11/09
1
W
L
P
11/16
-1
L
W
P
11/23
-3
L
L
P
11/30
-6
L
L
P
12/04
27
W
W
P
12/14
1
W
L
P
12/21
17
W
W
P
12/28
31
W
W
P
01/03
6
W
W
P
PIT logo

Steelers

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/26
-7
L
L
P
11/03
17
W
W
P
11/09
-4
L
L
P
11/16
1
W
L
P
11/20
17
W
W
P
11/30
23
W
W
P
12/07
7
W
W
P
12/14
4
W
W
P
12/21
-17
L
L
P
12/28
31
W
W
P