LACChargers
1-1
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
72°F
7 mph
20
TENTitans
1-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
72°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
3
7
0
17
Titans
0
10
0
10
20
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
277
452
Total Plays
53
68
Yards / Play
5.2
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.10
Passing Yards
175
282
Comp/Att
20/24(83%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.31
+0.17
Rushing Yards
102
170
Rush Attempts
27
29
Yards / Rush
3.8
5.9
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
33%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
9
14
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-0.10
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-9
-17
Sack EPA
-2.24
-2.93
Penalties
4
11
Penalty Yards
--
116
Penalty EPA
--
-6.81
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+19
Home nfelo
1,436
Away nfelo
1,478
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-23.8
Home QB Adjustment
-9.7
Away QB Adjustment
+14.1
Market Regression
-9.0
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+14.1
J. Locker
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-9.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
16
Yards / Game
8
14
Passing Yards / Game
2
8
Rushing Yards / Game
13
19
EPA
EPA / Play
2
22
EPA / Pass
2
15
EPA / Rush
10
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
23
Interceptions / Game
5
22
Fumbles / Game
7
1
Turnover EPA / Game
27
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
27
RZ Efficiency
21
27
Titans Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
9
Yards / Game
21
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
20
Rushing Yards / Game
14
14
EPA
EPA / Play
16
30
EPA / Pass
13
22
EPA / Rush
12
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
28
Interceptions / Game
18
24
Fumbles / Game
5
19
Turnover EPA / Game
20
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
21
4th Down Efficiency
7
15
RZ Efficiency
9
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Titans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U