KC logo
KC
-
BUF
-
BUF logo
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
0

Model

Projected Winner
KC logo
KCFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chiefs Offense vs Bills Defense
Chiefs logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
14
17
Yards / Game
16
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
1
Rushing Yards / Game
19
31

EPA

EPA / Play
8
25
EPA / Pass
10
11
EPA / Rush
4
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
2
17
Fumbles / Game
1
9
Turnover EPA / Game
30
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
25
4th Down Efficiency
3
21
RZ Efficiency
18
21
Bills Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Bills logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
2
8
Yards / Game
2
14
Passing Yards / Game
4
17
Rushing Yards / Game
1
22

EPA

EPA / Play
1
21
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
1
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
21
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
1
16
Turnover EPA / Game
32
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
9
4th Down Efficiency
7
6
RZ Efficiency
8
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

KC logo

Chiefs

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
8
W
W
O
12/25
19
W
W
U
01/05
-38
L
L
U
01/18
9
W
L
U
01/26
3
W
W
O
02/09
-18
L
L
O
09/05
-6
L
L
O
09/14
-3
L
L
U
09/21
13
W
W
U
09/28
17
W
W
O
BUF logo

Bills

8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
3
W
L
U
12/29
26
W
W
O
01/05
-7
L
L
O
01/12
24
W
W
U
01/19
2
W
W
O
01/26
-3
L
L
O
09/07
1
W
W
O
09/14
20
W
W
U
09/18
10
W
L
O
09/28
12
W
L
O