KCChiefs
0-1
6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
61°F
7 mph
9
DENBroncos
0-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
61°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chiefs
0
3
3
0
0
6
Broncos
0
0
3
3
3
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
276
318
Total Plays
58
66
Yards / Play
4.8
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.10
Passing Yards
131
--
Comp/Att
17/23(74%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.10
Rushing Yards
145
145
Rush Attempts
34
36
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-9.86
-2.94
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-2
--
Sack EPA
-2.08
--
Penalties
4
--
Penalty Yards
26
--
Penalty EPA
-2.40
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
6
Yards / Game
19
15
Passing Yards / Game
10
14
Rushing Yards / Game
9
12
EPA
EPA / Play
13
7
EPA / Pass
14
10
EPA / Rush
16
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
9
15
Fumbles / Game
20
9
Turnover EPA / Game
18
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
13
4th Down Efficiency
9
5
RZ Efficiency
2
7
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
12
Yards / Game
21
22
Passing Yards / Game
27
21
Rushing Yards / Game
8
20
EPA
EPA / Play
17
21
EPA / Pass
23
19
EPA / Rush
9
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
9
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
12
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
19
4th Down Efficiency
12
25
RZ Efficiency
11
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U