
KCChiefs
0-2
23
TBD
Mile High Stadium
36°F
8 mph
22
DENBroncos
2-1

TBD
Mile High Stadium
36°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
0
7
9
23
Broncos
3
3
10
0
16
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
294
342
Total Plays
62
61
Yards / Play
4.7
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.09
Passing Yards
245
197
Comp/Att
21/34(62%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.23
Rushing Yards
49
145
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
1.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.51
+0.02
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
50%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
9
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays


Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-14.34
-12.09
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-11
Sack EPA
-1.47
-4.36
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
48
71
Penalty EPA
-3.16
-5.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner

KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense


Total
Points / Game
7
21
Yards / Game
7
21
Passing Yards / Game
5
23
Rushing Yards / Game
25
8
EPA
EPA / Play
9
18
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
22
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
23
Interceptions / Game
9
2
Fumbles / Game
11
8
Turnover EPA / Game
15
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
6
4th Down Efficiency
29
9
RZ Efficiency
18
9
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense


Total
Points / Game
2
23
Yards / Game
2
20
Passing Yards / Game
2
28
Rushing Yards / Game
4
22
EPA
EPA / Play
6
25
EPA / Pass
6
25
EPA / Rush
5
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
20
Interceptions / Game
4
23
Fumbles / Game
15
14
Turnover EPA / Game
19
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
9
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Chiefs
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U

Broncos
5-5
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U