KCChiefs
11-1
27
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
63°F
8 mph
45
DENBroncos
7-5
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
63°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
14
0
6
27
Broncos
7
10
14
14
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
444
508
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
6.3
8.3
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.58
Passing Yards
381
--
Comp/Att
34/48(71%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.51
Rushing Yards
63
270
Rush Attempts
19
32
Yards / Rush
3.3
8.4
EPA / Rush
+0.11
+0.54
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
26
Passing 1st downs
21
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
62%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-4.74
--
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
44
23
Penalty EPA
-4.77
-3.00
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
12
Yards / Game
3
5
Passing Yards / Game
19
3
Rushing Yards / Game
11
6
EPA
EPA / Play
1
14
EPA / Pass
3
15
EPA / Rush
2
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
27
Interceptions / Game
2
32
Fumbles / Game
7
13
Turnover EPA / Game
32
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
4
4th Down Efficiency
1
18
RZ Efficiency
1
6
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
22
Yards / Game
7
29
Passing Yards / Game
31
18
Rushing Yards / Game
1
30
EPA
EPA / Play
10
26
EPA / Pass
15
17
EPA / Rush
3
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
30
Interceptions / Game
20
4
Fumbles / Game
2
23
Turnover EPA / Game
22
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
18
4th Down Efficiency
28
10
RZ Efficiency
7
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U