KCChiefs
0-2
17
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
8 mph
20
LACChargers
1-1
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
0
7
10
17
Chargers
0
10
7
3
20
Spread
+14
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
252
375
Total Plays
52
70
Yards / Play
4.8
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.00
+0.01
Passing Yards
171
258
Comp/Att
17/24(71%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.42
-0.00
Rushing Yards
81
117
Rush Attempts
27
30
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
22
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
2
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
42%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
5
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.22
-10.62
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-8
Sack EPA
-1.61
-2.20
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
65
40
Penalty EPA
-4.61
-11.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-15.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-13.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model85.3%
Spread Pick
Chiefs+14.0
Expected Value
+6.3%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+238
Home nfelo
1,616
Away nfelo
1,436
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+22.5
Home QB Adjustment
+8.5
Away QB Adjustment
-14.0
Market Regression
-11.9
Final Difference
304.9
Model Spread
-13.0
Quarterbacks
M. Cassel
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-14.0
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+8.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
23
Yards / Game
27
16
Passing Yards / Game
28
10
Rushing Yards / Game
15
20
EPA
EPA / Play
29
29
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
31
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
25
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
6
31
Turnover EPA / Game
14
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
32
4th Down Efficiency
15
2
RZ Efficiency
32
26
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
13
Yards / Game
6
11
Passing Yards / Game
16
2
Rushing Yards / Game
16
26
EPA
EPA / Play
4
21
EPA / Pass
4
22
EPA / Rush
12
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
25
5
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
7
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
5
4th Down Efficiency
20
18
RZ Efficiency
10
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-5-1
O/U