KCChiefs
1-7
19
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
62°F
24 mph
20
LACChargers
3-5
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
62°F
24 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
6
0
6
19
Chargers
0
6
7
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
400
Total Plays
62
64
Yards / Play
5.5
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.17
Passing Yards
263
308
Comp/Att
27/43(63%)
27/36(75%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
8.6
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.31
Rushing Yards
76
92
Rush Attempts
18
26
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
23
Passing 1st downs
13
18
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
50%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-8.00
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-3
-8
Sack EPA
-0.54
-1.61
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
16
37
Penalty EPA
-3.61
-4.92
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
17
Yards / Game
24
25
Passing Yards / Game
10
22
Rushing Yards / Game
16
11
EPA
EPA / Play
23
27
EPA / Pass
22
20
EPA / Rush
12
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
20
Interceptions / Game
20
17
Fumbles / Game
12
17
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
19
4th Down Efficiency
29
15
RZ Efficiency
10
22
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
29
Yards / Game
10
31
Passing Yards / Game
14
1
Rushing Yards / Game
21
30
EPA
EPA / Play
1
30
EPA / Pass
3
26
EPA / Rush
7
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
8
18
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
32
4th Down Efficiency
3
7
RZ Efficiency
12
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U