KCChiefs
4-6
16
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
17
LACChargers
0-10
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
3
3
4
0
10
Chargers
7
7
0
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
161
201
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
2.5
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.25
-0.30
Passing Yards
84
149
Comp/Att
12/31(39%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
2.7
5.0
EPA / Pass
-0.46
-0.59
Rushing Yards
77
52
Rush Attempts
31
22
Yards / Rush
2.5
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
14
Passing 1st downs
6
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
17%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
3
1
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
+0.23
-19.50
Sacks
5
6
Sack Yards
-46
-28
Sack EPA
-7.73
-5.89
Penalties
11
5
Penalty Yards
90
43
Penalty EPA
-5.68
-2.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
30
Yards / Game
7
12
Passing Yards / Game
5
20
Rushing Yards / Game
25
4
EPA
EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
9
18
EPA / Rush
22
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
7
Interceptions / Game
9
17
Fumbles / Game
11
29
Turnover EPA / Game
15
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
15
4th Down Efficiency
29
19
RZ Efficiency
18
16
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
23
Yards / Game
28
20
Passing Yards / Game
7
28
Rushing Yards / Game
31
22
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
25
25
EPA / Rush
31
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
20
Interceptions / Game
31
23
Fumbles / Game
30
14
Turnover EPA / Game
1
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
23
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
26
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
0-10
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U