KCChiefs
10-1
28
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
71°F
8 mph
24
LACChargers
2-9
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
71°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
14
0
7
28
Chargers
0
7
10
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
335
370
Total Plays
70
63
Yards / Play
4.8
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.07
Passing Yards
141
211
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
16/34(47%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.08
Rushing Yards
194
159
Rush Attempts
39
28
Yards / Rush
5.0
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
17
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
13
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
42%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
80%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.70
-11.05
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-14
-2
Sack EPA
-2.22
-0.83
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
55
55
Penalty EPA
-5.48
-7.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
31
Yards / Game
3
27
Passing Yards / Game
19
24
Rushing Yards / Game
11
26
EPA
EPA / Play
1
32
EPA / Pass
3
28
EPA / Rush
2
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
2
25
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
32
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
31
4th Down Efficiency
1
22
RZ Efficiency
1
32
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
22
Yards / Game
16
29
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30
EPA
EPA / Play
12
26
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
4
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
30
Interceptions / Game
21
4
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
10
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
14
10
RZ Efficiency
22
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U