KCChiefs
5-2
17
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
025
INDColts
5-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
3
7
7
0
17
Colts
3
10
3
9
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
319
375
Total Plays
64
57
Yards / Play
5.0
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.20
Passing Yards
211
235
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.03
Rushing Yards
108
119
Rush Attempts
29
23
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
44%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-7.39
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-5
-34
Sack EPA
-1.09
-3.82
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
75
28
Penalty EPA
-4.38
-3.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
17
Yards / Game
11
15
Passing Yards / Game
11
7
Rushing Yards / Game
4
21
EPA
EPA / Play
16
19
EPA / Pass
7
19
EPA / Rush
14
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
31
Interceptions / Game
5
30
Fumbles / Game
5
19
Turnover EPA / Game
27
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
12
4th Down Efficiency
8
12
RZ Efficiency
4
14
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
14
Yards / Game
7
14
Passing Yards / Game
29
13
Rushing Yards / Game
19
9
EPA
EPA / Play
3
6
EPA / Pass
2
5
EPA / Rush
12
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
28
Interceptions / Game
12
5
Fumbles / Game
10
3
Turnover EPA / Game
24
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
1
4th Down Efficiency
28
17
RZ Efficiency
19
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
5-2
SU
4-3
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Colts
5-2
SU
6-1
ATS
0-0-7
O/U