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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chiefs @ commanders week 3, 2001

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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KC logo
KCChiefs
0-2
45
TBD
FedExField
57°F
19 mph
13
WASCommanders
0-2
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
57°F
19 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
28
7
10
45
Commanders
3
7
3
0
13

Game Statistics

General
Chiefs logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
546
218
Total Plays
69
48
Yards / Play
7.9
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.50
-0.00
Passing Yards
346
107
Comp/Att
24/30(80%)
11/27(41%)
Yards / Pass
11.5
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.84
-0.22
Rushing Yards
200
111
Rush Attempts
38
20
Yards / Rush
5.3
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Chiefs logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
29
11
Passing 1st downs
19
6
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
62%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
80%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Chiefs logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-1.58
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-1
-9
Sack EPA
-0.93
-1.25
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
78
--
Penalty EPA
-5.60
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
KC logo
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chiefs Offense vs Commanders Defense
Chiefs logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
15
12
Yards / Game
4
10
Passing Yards / Game
2
9
Rushing Yards / Game
5
19

EPA

EPA / Play
4
11
EPA / Pass
17
9
EPA / Rush
1
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
17
Interceptions / Game
29
6
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
12
4th Down Efficiency
23
6
RZ Efficiency
19
6
Commanders Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Commanders logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
28
23
Yards / Game
28
22
Passing Yards / Game
28
8
Rushing Yards / Game
8
27

EPA

EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
27
20
EPA / Rush
12
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
15
Interceptions / Game
4
25
Fumbles / Game
19
12
Turnover EPA / Game
21
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
22
4th Down Efficiency
24
30
RZ Efficiency
25
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

KC logo

Chiefs

2-8
SU
1-8-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/05
-18
L
L
P
11/12
-14
L
L
P
11/19
-4
L
L
P
11/26
-1
L
L
P
12/04
-6
L
L
P
12/10
1
W
L
P
12/17
13
W
W
P
12/24
-16
L
L
P
09/09
-3
L
P
P
09/23
-10
L
L
P
WAS logo

Commanders

2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/30
-6
L
L
P
11/05
-1
L
L
P
11/20
13
W
W
P
11/26
-3
L
L
P
12/03
-2
L
L
P
12/10
-19
L
L
P
12/16
-21
L
L
P
12/24
17
W
W
P
09/09
-27
L
L
P
09/24
-37
L
L
P