KCChiefs
0-2
14
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
69°F
6 mph
34
PHIEagles
1-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
69°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
7
0
7
14
Eagles
14
10
3
7
34
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
196
420
Total Plays
51
63
Yards / Play
3.8
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.21
Passing Yards
97
--
Comp/Att
15/19(79%)
24/36(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.38
Rushing Yards
99
93
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
21
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
0%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
--
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.66
-4.45
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-2.06
--
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
90
--
Penalty EPA
-8.14
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.4%
Model74.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+173
Home nfelo
1,555
Away nfelo
1,358
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-98.3
Home QB Adjustment
-57.9
Away QB Adjustment
+40.4
Market Regression
-37.0
Final Difference
185.3
Model Spread
-7.5
Quarterbacks
M. Cassel
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
+40.4
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-57.9
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
19
Yards / Game
25
16
Passing Yards / Game
20
32
Rushing Yards / Game
12
12
EPA
EPA / Play
26
9
EPA / Pass
26
9
EPA / Rush
26
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
10
Interceptions / Game
18
4
Fumbles / Game
13
14
Turnover EPA / Game
18
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
17
25
RZ Efficiency
23
25
Eagles Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
11
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
8
Rushing Yards / Game
24
30
EPA
EPA / Play
14
25
EPA / Pass
12
18
EPA / Rush
10
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
5
Interceptions / Game
8
16
Fumbles / Game
27
7
Turnover EPA / Game
23
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
14
4th Down Efficiency
28
24
RZ Efficiency
27
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
1-1-8
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
2-0-8
O/U