KCChiefs
6-8
13
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
029
ATLFalcons
3-12
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
0
0
6
13
Falcons
7
6
6
10
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
259
288
Total Plays
49
68
Yards / Play
5.3
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.12
Passing Yards
210
157
Comp/Att
18/33(55%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.09
Rushing Yards
49
131
Rush Attempts
12
36
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.11
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
30%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
14
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.14
--
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-20
-6
Sack EPA
-8.18
-3.91
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-3.13
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
7
25
Passing Yards / Game
5
19
Rushing Yards / Game
25
26
EPA
EPA / Play
9
24
EPA / Pass
9
23
EPA / Rush
22
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
2
Interceptions / Game
9
22
Fumbles / Game
11
25
Turnover EPA / Game
15
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
10
4th Down Efficiency
29
21
RZ Efficiency
18
13
Falcons Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
23
Yards / Game
30
21
Passing Yards / Game
20
28
Rushing Yards / Game
28
22
EPA
EPA / Play
28
25
EPA / Pass
30
25
EPA / Rush
28
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
20
Interceptions / Game
23
23
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
7
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
23
4th Down Efficiency
18
30
RZ Efficiency
30
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U