KCChiefs
1-3
16
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
78°F
9 mph
22
JAXJaguars
3-2
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
78°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
3
0
7
6
16
Jaguars
7
7
0
8
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
350
380
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
5.8
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.15
Passing Yards
273
279
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.36
+0.25
Rushing Yards
77
101
Rush Attempts
21
23
Yards / Rush
3.7
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
15
14
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
46%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-0.10
--
Sacks
6
4
Sack Yards
-42
-21
Sack EPA
-7.55
-5.01
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
30
46
Penalty EPA
-3.49
-3.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
7
Yards / Game
1
11
Passing Yards / Game
8
9
Rushing Yards / Game
4
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
14
EPA / Pass
4
20
EPA / Rush
1
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
23
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
11
10
Turnover EPA / Game
24
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
24
4th Down Efficiency
29
17
RZ Efficiency
1
1
Jaguars Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
29
Yards / Game
21
31
Passing Yards / Game
18
31
Rushing Yards / Game
15
13
EPA
EPA / Play
22
32
EPA / Pass
18
31
EPA / Rush
19
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
23
Interceptions / Game
4
25
Fumbles / Game
11
30
Turnover EPA / Game
21
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
19
4th Down Efficiency
12
5
RZ Efficiency
31
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U