KCChiefs
5-0
40
TBD
Lambeau Field
60°F
17 mph
34
GBPackers
3-2
TBD
Lambeau Field
60°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chiefs
7
7
0
14
6
34
Packers
14
7
10
3
0
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
482
440
Total Plays
71
74
Yards / Play
6.8
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
257
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
25/36(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.1
EPA / Pass
+0.45
+0.05
Rushing Yards
82
183
Rush Attempts
26
35
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.00
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
24
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
53%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
9
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
15
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-13.41
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-15
Sack EPA
--
-4.45
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
40
25
Penalty EPA
-3.03
-2.06
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
10
Yards / Game
3
16
Passing Yards / Game
19
20
Rushing Yards / Game
11
11
EPA
EPA / Play
1
12
EPA / Pass
3
8
EPA / Rush
2
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
31
Interceptions / Game
2
11
Fumbles / Game
7
4
Turnover EPA / Game
32
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
10
4th Down Efficiency
1
3
RZ Efficiency
1
5
Packers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
22
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
3
30
EPA
EPA / Play
3
26
EPA / Pass
6
17
EPA / Rush
6
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
30
Interceptions / Game
23
4
Fumbles / Game
5
23
Turnover EPA / Game
16
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
18
4th Down Efficiency
5
10
RZ Efficiency
2
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U