KCChiefs
4-7
24
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
45°F
10 mph
30
NEPatriots
3-9
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
45°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
3
7
0
14
24
Patriots
10
10
7
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
418
368
Total Plays
65
81
Yards / Play
6.4
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.09
Passing Yards
--
263
Comp/Att
25/46(54%)
33/47(70%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.08
Rushing Yards
68
105
Rush Attempts
19
31
Yards / Rush
3.6
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
15
15
Rushing 1st downs
2
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
40%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-15.91
-3.41
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-19
Sack EPA
--
-3.35
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
40
65
Penalty EPA
-5.30
-4.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
17
Yards / Game
7
19
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
25
20
EPA
EPA / Play
9
18
EPA / Pass
9
24
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
8
Interceptions / Game
9
29
Fumbles / Game
11
16
Turnover EPA / Game
15
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
28
4th Down Efficiency
29
31
RZ Efficiency
18
18
Patriots Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
23
Yards / Game
21
21
Passing Yards / Game
14
28
Rushing Yards / Game
26
22
EPA
EPA / Play
20
25
EPA / Pass
18
25
EPA / Rush
27
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
20
Interceptions / Game
10
23
Fumbles / Game
7
13
Turnover EPA / Game
21
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
24
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U