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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chiefs @ ravens week 4, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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KC logo
KCChiefs
3-0
17
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
70°F
9 mph
10
BALRavens
2-1
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
70°F
9 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
3
7
7
17
Ravens
0
0
3
7
10

Game Statistics

General
Chiefs logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
265
326
Total Plays
59
65
Yards / Play
4.5
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.04
Passing Yards
136
124
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.38
Rushing Yards
129
202
Rush Attempts
28
36
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
Chiefs logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
10
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
29%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Chiefs logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+3.58
-7.67
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-16
Sack EPA
-4.46
-4.46
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
26
30
Penalty EPA
-3.97
-2.82

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
KC logo
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chiefs Offense vs Ravens Defense
Chiefs logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
1
7
Yards / Game
3
3
Passing Yards / Game
19
6
Rushing Yards / Game
11
8

EPA

EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
3
1
EPA / Rush
2
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
12
Interceptions / Game
2
3
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
32
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
2
4th Down Efficiency
1
2
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Ravens Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Ravens logo
Chiefs logo

Total

Points / Game
8
22
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
2
30

EPA

EPA / Play
22
26
EPA / Pass
26
17
EPA / Rush
18
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
30
Interceptions / Game
24
4
Fumbles / Game
31
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
18
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
29
23

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

KC logo

Chiefs

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/17
1
W
L
P
11/24
-7
L
L
P
12/01
49
W
W
P
12/08
39
W
W
P
12/15
-7
L
L
P
12/22
2
W
W
P
12/28
-24
L
L
P
09/07
13
W
W
P
09/14
21
W
W
P
09/21
28
W
W
P
BAL logo

Ravens

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/17
-19
L
L
P
11/24
1
W
W
P
12/01
4
W
W
P
12/08
-12
L
L
P
12/15
4
W
W
P
12/22
-1
L
L
P
12/29
-3
L
W
P
09/07
-19
L
L
P
09/14
20
W
W
P
09/21
14
W
W
P