KCChiefs
6-4
42
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
1 mph
24
SEASeahawks
5-5
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
14
0
21
42
Seahawks
1
3
7
7
18
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
503
288
Total Plays
80
51
Yards / Play
6.3
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.11
Passing Yards
--
268
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
20/37(54%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.50
-0.20
Rushing Yards
270
20
Rush Attempts
48
12
Yards / Rush
5.6
1.7
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
13
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
13
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
65%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
11
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
5
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.73
-12.00
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-14
Sack EPA
--
-6.28
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
50
--
Penalty EPA
-4.89
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.0
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model51.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+14
Home nfelo
1,404
Away nfelo
1,463
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-11.8
Home QB Adjustment
+13.1
Away QB Adjustment
+24.9
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
-10.5
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
M. Cassel
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
+24.9
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
27
Yards / Game
16
30
Passing Yards / Game
31
24
Rushing Yards / Game
1
21
EPA
EPA / Play
16
25
EPA / Pass
13
29
EPA / Rush
7
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
17
Interceptions / Game
4
27
Fumbles / Game
15
20
Turnover EPA / Game
31
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
7
11
Seahawks Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
14
Yards / Game
26
16
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
18
EPA / Pass
24
17
EPA / Rush
24
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
20
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
12
30
Turnover EPA / Game
12
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
6
RZ Efficiency
26
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Seahawks
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U