KCChiefs
-
3
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
020
HOUTexans
-
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
0
3
0
3
Texans
0
10
1
3
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
219
315
Total Plays
53
55
Yards / Play
4.1
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.31
+0.01
Passing Yards
147
206
Comp/Att
22/33(67%)
16/22(73%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
9.4
EPA / Pass
-0.43
+0.08
Rushing Yards
72
109
Rush Attempts
17
31
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
13
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
27%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-11.81
-4.09
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-21
-19
Sack EPA
-3.83
-2.11
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
40
45
Penalty EPA
-3.37
-4.48
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
22
Yards / Game
31
24
Passing Yards / Game
12
29
Rushing Yards / Game
32
19
EPA
EPA / Play
30
28
EPA / Pass
28
25
EPA / Rush
29
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
26
Interceptions / Game
24
31
Fumbles / Game
15
11
Turnover EPA / Game
13
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
23
4th Down Efficiency
3
12
RZ Efficiency
23
18
Texans Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
15
Yards / Game
14
12
Passing Yards / Game
14
22
Rushing Yards / Game
21
28
EPA
EPA / Play
7
14
EPA / Pass
16
10
EPA / Rush
9
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
1
Interceptions / Game
28
24
Fumbles / Game
31
18
Turnover EPA / Game
3
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
1
4th Down Efficiency
2
1
RZ Efficiency
6
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U