KCChiefs
2-0
42
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
014
HOUTexans
1-1
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
7
7
8
8
30
Texans
0
7
0
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
426
316
Total Plays
64
65
Yards / Play
6.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.21
-0.27
Passing Yards
258
209
Comp/Att
16/28(57%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.22
Rushing Yards
168
107
Rush Attempts
35
26
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
20
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
54%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-7.28
-18.95
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-9
Sack EPA
-1.34
-1.56
Penalties
4
10
Penalty Yards
20
74
Penalty EPA
-1.92
-13.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
27
Yards / Game
3
31
Passing Yards / Game
19
8
Rushing Yards / Game
11
31
EPA
EPA / Play
1
25
EPA / Pass
3
31
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
17
Interceptions / Game
2
20
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
32
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
23
4th Down Efficiency
1
30
RZ Efficiency
1
8
Texans Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
31
29
Passing Yards / Game
24
18
Rushing Yards / Game
23
30
EPA
EPA / Play
26
26
EPA / Pass
23
17
EPA / Rush
16
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
30
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
9
23
Turnover EPA / Game
20
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
18
4th Down Efficiency
3
10
RZ Efficiency
3
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U