INDColts
6-2
24
TBD
Soldier Field
57°F
12 mph
27
CHIBears
1-7
TBD
Soldier Field
57°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
0
8
16
24
Bears
10
10
1
0
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
373
370
Total Plays
62
69
Yards / Play
6.0
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.11
Passing Yards
283
--
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.36
Rushing Yards
90
143
Rush Attempts
21
35
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
46%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.19
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-4.32
--
Penalties
7
8
Penalty Yards
81
58
Penalty EPA
-5.17
-4.63
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
18
Yards / Game
3
17
Passing Yards / Game
18
25
Rushing Yards / Game
15
19
EPA
EPA / Play
2
15
EPA / Pass
2
17
EPA / Rush
7
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
21
Interceptions / Game
8
27
Fumbles / Game
15
26
Turnover EPA / Game
20
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
13
4th Down Efficiency
1
29
RZ Efficiency
4
29
Bears Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
16
Yards / Game
24
22
Passing Yards / Game
23
8
Rushing Yards / Game
21
27
EPA
EPA / Play
26
21
EPA / Pass
27
14
EPA / Rush
18
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
31
Interceptions / Game
13
17
Fumbles / Game
19
28
Turnover EPA / Game
13
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
21
4th Down Efficiency
20
28
RZ Efficiency
25
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U