INDColts
15-4
29
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
67°F
10 mph
17
CHIBears
15-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
67°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
6
10
6
1
23
Bears
14
0
3
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
430
265
Total Plays
81
48
Yards / Play
5.3
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.35
Passing Yards
239
154
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.51
Rushing Yards
191
111
Rush Attempts
42
19
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.54
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
11
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
44%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
17%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
2
3
Turnover EPA
-9.32
-25.51
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-11
Sack EPA
-1.75
-2.55
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
40
35
Penalty EPA
-6.21
-3.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
3
Yards / Game
2
9
Passing Yards / Game
22
20
Rushing Yards / Game
16
9
EPA
EPA / Play
2
1
EPA / Pass
1
2
EPA / Rush
10
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
29
Interceptions / Game
6
3
Fumbles / Game
9
1
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
3
4th Down Efficiency
32
12
RZ Efficiency
4
10
Bears Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
18
Yards / Game
14
12
Passing Yards / Game
12
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
32
EPA
EPA / Play
15
27
EPA / Pass
26
14
EPA / Rush
14
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
32
Interceptions / Game
27
14
Fumbles / Game
22
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
25
4th Down Efficiency
4
30
RZ Efficiency
15
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U