INDColts
3-3
30
TBD
New Era Field
54°F
20 mph
14
BUFBills
1-5
TBD
New Era Field
54°F
20 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
17
7
6
30
Bills
0
1
0
7
8
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
305
232
Total Plays
68
60
Yards / Play
4.5
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.24
Passing Yards
161
148
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
17/33(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.52
Rushing Yards
144
84
Rush Attempts
37
21
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
14
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
47%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
14
Red Zone %
67%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
--
-4.76
Sacks
4
6
Sack Yards
-38
-24
Sack EPA
-7.65
-13.59
Penalties
3
4
Penalty Yards
35
20
Penalty EPA
-2.41
-1.66
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
2
20
Passing Yards / Game
6
3
Rushing Yards / Game
7
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
29
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
7
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
8
Interceptions / Game
27
29
Fumbles / Game
24
29
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
28
4th Down Efficiency
4
15
RZ Efficiency
7
24
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
31
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
11
11
Rushing Yards / Game
23
25
EPA
EPA / Play
23
31
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
16
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
22
Interceptions / Game
20
21
Fumbles / Game
20
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
29
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
16
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U