INDColts
8-2
17
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
17 mph
14
BUFBills
4-6
TBD
New Era Field
70°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
3
0
14
17
Bills
0
7
0
7
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
328
228
Total Plays
75
57
Yards / Play
4.4
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.03
Passing Yards
225
118
Comp/Att
26/43(60%)
15/28(54%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.34
Rushing Yards
103
110
Rush Attempts
31
27
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.01
+0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
16
Passing 1st downs
13
5
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
53%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.25
-1.16
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-17
Sack EPA
-1.92
-3.53
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
49
42
Penalty EPA
-9.25
-2.79
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
5
Yards / Game
2
2
Passing Yards / Game
6
10
Rushing Yards / Game
19
7
EPA
EPA / Play
2
8
EPA / Pass
1
7
EPA / Rush
13
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
1
Interceptions / Game
4
30
Fumbles / Game
12
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
16
4th Down Efficiency
12
21
RZ Efficiency
10
17
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
19
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
22
1
Rushing Yards / Game
22
20
EPA
EPA / Play
28
29
EPA / Pass
27
18
EPA / Rush
21
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
29
Interceptions / Game
15
13
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
4
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
16
4th Down Efficiency
15
31
RZ Efficiency
20
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U