INDColts
6-0
34
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
4 mph
31
DENBroncos
5-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
3
14
14
34
Broncos
0
14
7
10
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
439
396
Total Plays
61
58
Yards / Play
7.2
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.41
+0.33
Passing Yards
--
169
Comp/Att
32/40(80%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.60
+0.28
Rushing Yards
92
227
Rush Attempts
21
36
Yards / Rush
4.4
6.3
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.42
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
24
Passing 1st downs
18
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
13
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
64%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-3.76
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
--
-3.76
Penalties
5
3
Penalty Yards
55
--
Penalty EPA
-6.80
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
6
Yards / Game
2
15
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
16
12
EPA
EPA / Play
2
7
EPA / Pass
1
10
EPA / Rush
10
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
20
Interceptions / Game
6
15
Fumbles / Game
9
9
Turnover EPA / Game
22
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
13
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
4
7
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
18
Yards / Game
21
12
Passing Yards / Game
27
2
Rushing Yards / Game
8
32
EPA
EPA / Play
17
27
EPA / Pass
23
14
EPA / Rush
9
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
32
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
17
6
Turnover EPA / Game
12
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
30
RZ Efficiency
11
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U