INDColts
6-4
23
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
25°F
6 mph
20
DENBroncos
7-3
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
25°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Colts
3
0
14
3
3
23
Broncos
0
6
7
7
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
344
285
Total Plays
85
48
Yards / Play
4.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.15
Passing Yards
216
172
Comp/Att
27/44(61%)
15/24(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.15
Rushing Yards
128
113
Rush Attempts
39
22
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
15
Passing 1st downs
15
7
Rushing 1st downs
11
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
71%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
15
5
3rd Down Attempts
21
9
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.66
-7.69
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-13
-13
Sack EPA
-6.20
-2.55
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
31
58
Penalty EPA
-1.19
-4.07
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
14
Yards / Game
14
6
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
27
4
EPA
EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
8
20
EPA / Rush
23
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
5
Interceptions / Game
22
30
Fumbles / Game
17
17
Turnover EPA / Game
16
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
28
4th Down Efficiency
2
15
RZ Efficiency
19
30
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
11
Yards / Game
3
8
Passing Yards / Game
3
8
Rushing Yards / Game
5
23
EPA
EPA / Play
4
12
EPA / Pass
9
10
EPA / Rush
4
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
23
29
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
14
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
15
4th Down Efficiency
4
14
RZ Efficiency
7
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U