INDColts
12-3
14
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
32°F
4 mph
33
DENBroncos
9-6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
32°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
7
0
0
14
Broncos
7
13
10
3
33
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
200
453
Total Plays
43
73
Yards / Play
4.7
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.19
Passing Yards
166
239
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
17/30(57%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.32
Rushing Yards
34
214
Rush Attempts
15
42
Yards / Rush
2.3
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.70
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
23
Passing 1st downs
6
12
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
18%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.53
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-7
Sack EPA
-1.96
-1.40
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.30
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
13
Yards / Game
2
5
Passing Yards / Game
15
23
Rushing Yards / Game
21
4
EPA
EPA / Play
1
18
EPA / Pass
1
13
EPA / Rush
7
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
30
Interceptions / Game
2
28
Fumbles / Game
9
28
Turnover EPA / Game
30
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
8
7
RZ Efficiency
3
16
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
19
Yards / Game
4
28
Passing Yards / Game
31
32
Rushing Yards / Game
5
26
EPA
EPA / Play
8
25
EPA / Pass
8
25
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
32
Interceptions / Game
24
12
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
13
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
25
4th Down Efficiency
11
8
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U