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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. colts @ browns week 13, 2008

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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IND logo
INDColts
7-4
10
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
36°F
15 mph
6
CLEBrowns
4-7
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
36°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
0
0
1
4
Browns
3
3
0
0
6

Game Statistics

General
Colts logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
215
193
Total Plays
50
64
Yards / Play
4.3
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.21
Passing Yards
--
92
Comp/Att
15/21(71%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.33
Rushing Yards
90
101
Rush Attempts
29
32
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
Colts logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
14
13
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
5
11
3rd Down Attempts
10
20
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Colts logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.97
-7.76
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-18
Sack EPA
--
-10.00
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.58

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
IND logo
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Colts Offense vs Browns Defense
Colts logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
12
15
Yards / Game
15
26
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
28

EPA

EPA / Play
4
13
EPA / Pass
2
28
EPA / Rush
23
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
6
2
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
31
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
30
4th Down Efficiency
4
25
RZ Efficiency
1
12
Browns Offense vs Colts Defense
Browns logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
31
11
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
25

EPA

EPA / Play
30
21
EPA / Pass
30
9
EPA / Rush
19
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
29
Interceptions / Game
29
13
Fumbles / Game
3
8
Turnover EPA / Game
9
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
31
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

IND logo

Colts

7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
3
W
W
P
09/21
-2
L
L
P
10/05
4
W
P
P
10/12
28
W
W
P
10/19
-20
L
L
P
10/27
-10
L
L
P
11/02
3
W
L
P
11/09
4
W
W
P
11/16
6
W
L
P
11/23
3
W
W
P
CLE logo

Browns

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/14
-4
L
W
P
09/21
-18
L
L
P
09/28
8
W
W
P
10/13
21
W
W
P
10/19
-3
L
W
P
10/26
6
W
W
P
11/02
-10
L
L
P
11/06
-4
L
L
P
11/17
2
W
W
P
11/23
-10
L
L
P