INDColts
7-4
10
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
36°F
15 mph
6
CLEBrowns
4-7
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
36°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
0
0
1
4
Browns
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
215
193
Total Plays
50
64
Yards / Play
4.3
3.0
EPA / Play
-0.16
-0.21
Passing Yards
--
92
Comp/Att
15/21(71%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
-0.33
Rushing Yards
90
101
Rush Attempts
29
32
Yards / Rush
3.1
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
13
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
50%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
5
11
3rd Down Attempts
10
20
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.97
-7.76
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-18
Sack EPA
--
-10.00
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
--
25
Penalty EPA
--
-2.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
15
Yards / Game
15
26
Passing Yards / Game
20
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
28
EPA
EPA / Play
4
13
EPA / Pass
2
28
EPA / Rush
23
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
6
2
Fumbles / Game
1
20
Turnover EPA / Game
31
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
30
4th Down Efficiency
4
25
RZ Efficiency
1
12
Browns Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
31
11
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
26
25
EPA
EPA / Play
30
21
EPA / Pass
30
9
EPA / Rush
19
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
29
Interceptions / Game
29
13
Fumbles / Game
3
8
Turnover EPA / Game
9
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
31
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U