INDColts
8-5
28
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
38°F
10 mph
23
CLEBrowns
7-6
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
38°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
0
14
14
28
Browns
13
3
0
7
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
417
349
Total Plays
68
67
Yards / Play
6.1
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.07
Passing Yards
274
253
Comp/Att
20/34(59%)
21/35(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.37
+0.06
Rushing Yards
143
96
Rush Attempts
33
28
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
13
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
40%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.47
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-3
-34
Sack EPA
-1.66
-5.82
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
44
39
Penalty EPA
-3.52
-3.20
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
13
Yards / Game
14
24
Passing Yards / Game
20
2
Rushing Yards / Game
27
22
EPA
EPA / Play
20
14
EPA / Pass
8
15
EPA / Rush
23
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
18
Interceptions / Game
22
14
Fumbles / Game
17
23
Turnover EPA / Game
16
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
20
4th Down Efficiency
2
15
RZ Efficiency
19
4
Browns Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
11
Yards / Game
20
8
Passing Yards / Game
7
8
Rushing Yards / Game
26
23
EPA
EPA / Play
15
12
EPA / Pass
12
10
EPA / Rush
20
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
30
Interceptions / Game
25
29
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
27
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
15
4th Down Efficiency
1
14
RZ Efficiency
14
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U