INDColts
4-0
38
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
82°F
035
TBBuccaneers
2-1
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
82°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Colts
0
0
7
28
3
38
Buccaneers
14
7
7
1
0
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
455
457
Total Plays
70
72
Yards / Play
6.5
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.35
+0.25
Passing Yards
381
--
Comp/Att
34/47(72%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
--
EPA / Pass
+0.37
+0.52
Rushing Yards
74
139
Rush Attempts
22
33
Yards / Rush
3.4
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
25
Passing 1st downs
17
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
33%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.63
+5.50
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-5
--
Sack EPA
-0.76
--
Penalties
11
11
Penalty Yards
80
111
Penalty EPA
-12.74
-6.64
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
3
Yards / Game
2
4
Passing Yards / Game
6
4
Rushing Yards / Game
19
14
EPA
EPA / Play
2
4
EPA / Pass
1
5
EPA / Rush
13
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
28
Interceptions / Game
4
9
Fumbles / Game
12
8
Turnover EPA / Game
31
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
5
4th Down Efficiency
12
8
RZ Efficiency
10
2
Buccaneers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
19
Yards / Game
9
13
Passing Yards / Game
21
1
Rushing Yards / Game
24
20
EPA
EPA / Play
19
29
EPA / Pass
10
18
EPA / Rush
25
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
29
Interceptions / Game
29
13
Fumbles / Game
9
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
16
4th Down Efficiency
13
31
RZ Efficiency
9
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U