INDColts
7-1
21
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
61°F
8 mph
23
LACChargers
4-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
61°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
7
0
8
15
Chargers
10
7
0
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
388
177
Total Plays
85
51
Yards / Play
4.6
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.13
-0.21
Passing Yards
311
86
Comp/Att
34/56(61%)
13/25(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
3.4
EPA / Pass
-0.01
-0.62
Rushing Yards
75
91
Rush Attempts
27
24
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
11
Passing 1st downs
19
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
53%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
10
3
3rd Down Attempts
19
11
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
6
3
Interceptions
6
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-19.99
-14.29
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-17
-18
Sack EPA
-2.93
-7.13
Penalties
4
10
Penalty Yards
--
78
Penalty EPA
--
-8.18
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
4
Yards / Game
3
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
20
15
EPA
EPA / Play
2
1
EPA / Pass
3
4
EPA / Rush
4
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
27
Interceptions / Game
11
1
Fumbles / Game
4
7
Turnover EPA / Game
31
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
10
6
RZ Efficiency
10
13
Chargers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
20
3
Passing Yards / Game
31
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
14
EPA
EPA / Play
12
10
EPA / Pass
8
7
EPA / Rush
18
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
28
Interceptions / Game
17
2
Fumbles / Game
5
13
Turnover EPA / Game
21
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
31
4th Down Efficiency
6
23
RZ Efficiency
15
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U