INDColts
6-4
23
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
58°F
8 mph
20
LACChargers
4-6
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
58°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
7
7
6
23
Chargers
0
10
0
10
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
394
Total Plays
68
58
Yards / Play
5.0
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.19
Passing Yards
250
274
Comp/Att
32/44(73%)
24/31(77%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
8.8
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.29
Rushing Yards
91
120
Rush Attempts
23
25
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
14
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
59%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
10
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
67%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.89
-4.56
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-14
Sack EPA
-1.14
-5.61
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
--
37
Penalty EPA
--
-4.94
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
17
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
20
22
Rushing Yards / Game
31
11
EPA
EPA / Play
4
27
EPA / Pass
2
20
EPA / Rush
23
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
20
Interceptions / Game
6
17
Fumbles / Game
1
17
Turnover EPA / Game
31
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
19
4th Down Efficiency
4
15
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Chargers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
7
Yards / Game
10
11
Passing Yards / Game
14
3
Rushing Yards / Game
21
25
EPA
EPA / Play
1
21
EPA / Pass
3
9
EPA / Rush
7
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
29
Interceptions / Game
8
13
Fumbles / Game
9
8
Turnover EPA / Game
23
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
31
4th Down Efficiency
3
16
RZ Efficiency
12
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U