INDColts
2-3
35
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
55°F
12 mph
28
KCChiefs
1-5
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
55°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
0
7
10
18
35
Chiefs
0
3
11
14
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
417
Total Plays
67
70
Yards / Play
5.6
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.30
+0.13
Passing Yards
181
314
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
22/43(51%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.23
-0.00
Rushing Yards
194
103
Rush Attempts
33
24
Yards / Rush
5.9
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
25
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
44%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.53
-13.36
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-22
-10
Sack EPA
-4.08
-3.55
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
54
10
Penalty EPA
-4.94
-1.56
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
23
Yards / Game
2
22
Passing Yards / Game
6
8
Rushing Yards / Game
7
27
EPA
EPA / Play
7
21
EPA / Pass
9
20
EPA / Rush
7
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
15
Interceptions / Game
27
25
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
22
4th Down Efficiency
4
30
RZ Efficiency
7
6
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
31
Yards / Game
4
29
Passing Yards / Game
2
11
Rushing Yards / Game
5
25
EPA
EPA / Play
4
31
EPA / Pass
17
28
EPA / Rush
1
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
22
Interceptions / Game
29
21
Fumbles / Game
5
23
Turnover EPA / Game
14
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
29
4th Down Efficiency
23
18
RZ Efficiency
19
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U